Daily Overview · October 13, 2026
Tuesday reinforced three-day balance as overnight and RTH probes beyond developing value produced responsive rotations back through volume.
ETH tested both outside edges
ETH initially moved lower into the referenced 7838.25 composite HVN and established the 7836.00 overnight low. Responsive buyers returned the auction through Monday’s 7856.25 RTH VPOC and into the two-day micro-composite LVN, where the overnight high formed at 7864.00.
That upper outside-edge test failed to produce continuation. Price reverted through Monday’s VPOC and the 7855.00–7855.75 monthly, 10-day and weekly VPOC cluster before RTH opened at 7849.25.
RTH challenged Monday’s control
RTH immediately reclaimed the VPOC cluster, tested Monday’s 7859.75 nVPOC and traded through Monday’s published 7860.25 Siege Control Line. The extension reached 7863.25, three ticks below the overnight high. That high ended the daily one-time-framing-down condition but did not establish acceptance beyond the upper balance edge.
Sellers traversed value and the prior LBAF
Sellers responded by rotating through Monday’s now-covered 7856.25 VPOC, the multi-time-frame VPOC cluster and Monday’s published 7847.75–7846.25 potential LBAF. Temporary acceptance below the developing distribution swept the 7836.00 overnight low and established the RTH low at 7834.50.
Responsive buying reinforced three-day balance
Responsive buying from that lower outside edge produced another broad rotation through Tuesday’s distribution. Friday, Monday and Tuesday have now traded with substantial value overlap, strengthening the three-day balance. Until the auction establishes acceptance beyond an outside edge, failed probes remain candidates for mean reversion through temporary value.
The decision area
7855.00–7861.25 — the monthly, 10-day and weekly VPOC cluster through Tuesday’s newly calculated 7861.25 Siege Control Line.
Acceptance above
Acceptance above 7861.25 must hold through the 7863.25–7864.00 daily OTFD termination and overnight-high area. This confluence can produce a reaction, so an isolated stop sweep is insufficient. Sustained buyer aggression opens Tuesday’s 7870.25 potential LAAF, which aligns with the three-day balance high and two RTH highs, followed by the October 6 nVPOC at 7874.50.
Acceptance above 7874.50 reopens the 7886.25 composite LVN. Sustained trade through that low-volume corridor exposes 7900.00 and the all-time-high auction.
Acceptance below
Acceptance below 7855.00 returns focus to the 7838.25 composite HVN. That high-volume node is the first downside price check before Tuesday’s 7834.50 potential LBAF, where the RTH low, prior-day low and two-day balance low now align.
Acceptance beneath 7834.50 exposes the 7826.75 three-day balance low. Continued trade lower opens the October 8 nVPOC at 7808.00, followed by the previously established lower composite references.
Auction condition
Tuesday ended the confirmed daily one-time-framing-down condition at 7863.25. Weekly and monthly balance remain developing.