Daily Contextual Analysis & Plan | October 2, 2026
Friday’s overnight auction reclaimed the 7789.50 open-HVN and repaired the 7803.50 nVPOC before RTH rejected the upper 7790–7810 distribution and rebuilt value around 7775.00.
Overnight buyers repaired the upper distribution
Buyers maintained control from Thursday’s low through ETH, traversing several distributions and returning price to the 7789.50 RTH open and higher-time-frame composite HVN.
The overnight auction advanced from Thursday’s lower distribution, reclaimed the 7789.50 open-HVN and entered the higher-volume distribution spanning approximately 7790–7810. Price repaired the 7803.50 September 25 nVPOC before reaching that distribution’s northern low-volume edge near 7809.50.
RTH rejected the northern edge
RTH could not establish acceptance at the northern edge. Responsive selling returned price through the 7789.50 composite HVN and into overnight value, testing ONMID and ONVPOC without completing the open gap below.
The auction then built a broader RTH distribution across 7765.50–7786.00. Session VPOC migrated lower to 7775.00, identifying the clearest current acceptance and leaving price between the upper 7790–7810 distribution and the open gap beginning at 7747.00.
Upside: acceptance back into the 7790–7810 distribution
Reclaiming and holding above 7789.50 would return the auction to the upper distribution. The first references are the repaired 7803.50 nVPOC and the 7809.50 northern LVN/potential LAAF.
Acceptance through the 7811.25–7815.00 overnight and balance-high liquidity pocket can provide fuel for continuation into the next higher-time-frame distribution, with the open 7832.00 nVPOC along the path.
If not, rejection above 7789.50 returns the auction to 7775.00–7771.50 value.
Downside: acceptance below stacked value
Acceptance below 7771.50 would leave the 7765.50–7786.00 RTH distribution and test its 7765.50 lower edge. Continuation exposes the 7747.00 open single print and gap.
Acceptance through the stacked 7740.25 Siege Control Pivot and Thursday high would expose 7725.00–7723.25 and then the 7690.00 composite HVN. Rejection from the gap or Control Pivot would favor rotation back toward 7775.00 and 7789.50.
Auction condition
Daily balance remains confirmed while weekly and monthly balance continue developing. The next directional information comes from acceptance outside the 7771.50–7789.50 decision area.